Identical epidemic curves of COVID-19 in Belarus (zero lockdowns) and the US in Arpil-June 2020.

The curves of new COVID-19 cases in Belarus and in the United States are identical if we adjust for the population size differences.

Last update and review: June 27, 2020.

To better understand COVID-19 epidemiology, let us consider two countries: Belarus, with minimal distancing and no lockdown, and the United States, where incompetent bureaucracy disfigured social and economic life by imposing yo-yo lockdowns.

Definition of Yo-yo from the Merriam-Webster dictionary:

(noun) a condition or situation marked by regular fluctuations from one extreme to another

(adjectif) shifting back and forth or up and down uncertainly or unexpectedly

What was the impact of yo-yo lockdowns on the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States? Comparing the US to Belarus is one way to evaluate it.

According to the search, advertisement and propaganda “engine” Google, the population of the United States is 40 times higher than the population of Belarus:

382.2/9.45=40.4

During April, May, and June 2020, the curve of new cases in Belarus was tracing a long “plateau”. To simplify, we will round the number of daily new cases in Belarus to one thousand.

During the same period, the curve of daily new COVID-19 cases in the US was tracing a plateau of between 30 and 40 thousand cases.

If we compare the curves of new cases in Belarus and in the United States, we see that there is an identical number of new COVID-19 cases if we adjust for the population size differences.

1000 of daily new cases in Belarus multiplied by 40 equals 40 thousand, or roughly the number of new cases in the United States during the same period.

Note that Belarus is using serology tests to diagnose COVID-19. If a patient tests positive for IgM to SARS-CoV-2 but is negative for IgG, the patient is assumed to have an active COVID-19. If a patient tested positive for both IgM and IgG, it is assumed that the patient may have a current COVID-19 or had COVID-19 in the past, depending on the symptoms and other criteria.

In the United States, there were attempts in some states and in some bureaucracies to report new cases detected by both PCR-tests and serology tests. This would inflate the number of new cases and would give a pretext to continue the self-sabotage of the country with new lockdowns and restrictions.

It is not totally clear how the reporting is currently done in the United State and in Belarus. But if we account for the possible impact of serology tests on the reported number of new cases, we can assume that the number of daily new COVID-19 cases per million of the population in the United and in Belarus are practically identical.

Belarus: 1000 / 9.45 million = 105 daily new COVID-19 cases per 1 million of population.

The United States: 40000 / 328 million = 121 daily new COVID-19 cases per 1 million of population.

Conclusions.

Yo-yo lockdowns in the United States and elsewhere disfigured social and economic life but did not do a lot to influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic.

COVID-19 in Belarus: not a “success”.

Belarus reports very low COVID-19 mortality. A review of Belarus’ COVID-19 treatment guidance suggests, however, that those statistics can not be trusted. The real number of deaths is probably higher in Belarus.

Belarus: Daily death due to COVID-19 as of May 5, 2020.
Belarus: Daily death due to COVID-19 as of May 5, 2020.

COVID-19 patients get exposed to malpractice and resulting long-lasting health consequences.

In the United States, the mortality statistics should be closer to the reality. The biggest problem in the United States is the catastrophic levels of malpractice in hospitals. US hospitals became dystopian places. Thus, COVID-19 patients get exposed to malpractice and resulting long-lasting health consequences if they end up hospitalized. Death is NOT the only bad outcome of COVID-19.

From our comments on a social network:

Dystopia: A video interview with an undercover nurse who worked in a New York’s Elmhurst hospital during the COVID-19 outbreak.

Elmhurst hospital in New York is nominated for the “Malpractice Award” in the category “malpractice in mechanical ventilation”. By the early May 2020, Elmhurst doctors were killing 100% of their COVID-19 patients on mechanical ventilation. Many were intubated without real clinical justification.

Educating the population on how to avoid getting infected is the most important item of a COVID-19 response.

To control the COVID-19 epidemic, educating the population on how to avoid getting infected is the most important item. This educational aspect of COVID-19 response was totally sabotaged in the United States and in many other countries. The masses did not learn much on their own either.

From our comment on a social network:

Anthropology: COVID-19 cases are up. The masses learned nothing about COVID-19 and how to avoid it, neither on their own, nor from different bureaucrats, “scientists”, and propaganda. Grassroots educators were NOT helpful.


If you need help with understanding of how to avoid getting infected with SARS-CoV-2 or with other items of a COVID-19 response, do not hesitate to get in contact with us.

Related:

Dystopian levels of medical malpractice in a New York hospital: A documentary with Erin Marie Olszewski.

Erin Marie Olszewski is a real person, a registered nurse, an army veteran, a mother of 3. She is one of the founders of a vaccine safety non-profit. Erin Marie exposed malpractice in the treatment of COVID-19 at the Elmhurst hospital in New York.

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