Last update and review: December 27, 2020.
A short summary.
The first part of this article is a mini-course in COVID-19 epidemiology and anthropology. In the second part, there is a list of very simple questions that should stimulate your thinking about avoiding infections. You need to understand why the questions are asked and to come up with reasonable answers. Individuals who can provide well-thought answers to the questons are deemed to be knowledgeable enough to minimize their risk of getting infected with respiratory and other infections.
We can deliver a “Certificate of Civil Protection Aptitude During Epidemics” to individuals who provided good answers to all the questions. Spread of infections will be close to zero in families, schools, workplaces, geographic areas where people have our “Certificates of Civil Protection Aptitude During Epidemics”.
Introduction: A mini-course on COVID-19 epidemiology and anthropology.
The best way to fight epidemics is by educating people.
Common Sense, Restating the obvious.
It is a matter of personal responsibility not to get infected yourself and not to infect others.
At this point, we understand enough about the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. It is, therefore, a matter of personal responsibility not to get infected yourself and not to infect others. If you don’t get infected and if you don’t infect others, the epidemic stops.
The correct way to fight the COVID-19 epidemic and all future epidemics is to keep the effective transmission rate below 1. Not by lockdowns, but by a common effort of literate citizens.
The terms “reproduction rate”, “reproductive number” are used to define the same. What do they mean?
Fine, 1993 (1):
Reproductive number
If an infection is to persist, each infected individual must, on average, transmit that infection to at least one other individual. If this does not occur, the infection will disappear progressively from the population.
From another article on this website:
The right way to fight the COVID-19 epidemic and all future epidemics is to keep the effective transmission rate (reproduction rate) below 1. Not by lockdowns, but by a common effort of literate citizens. Any family, school, company, village, town, city can do it.
The New Neander’s Medical on October 15, 2020:
Is catching and transmitting SARS-CoV-2 a type of anti-social behavior? COVID-19 is easily preventable by hygiene. “Anti-social behavior is not permitted in Singapore. The fine for littering is $250. Jaywalking, spitting, and smoking in government offices are also fined $250.
The New Neander’s Medical on October 15, 2020:
A “car accident epidemic” is taking place among bad drivers. It is dealt with fines and other penalties.
A snapshot of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic as of December 26, 2020.
Currently, between 1 and 2 percent of all the reported COVID-19 cases die.
Currently, there is so much testing, that the reported cases reflect almost ALL infected with SARS-CoV-2. The Effective Case fatality rate (CFR) is, therefore, equal to The Effective Infection fatality rate (IFR). And CFR=IFR=1-2%. This means that between 1 and 2 percent of all the reported COVID-19 cases die. This is a lot if all the population had to get infected with SARS-CoV-2.
The New Neander’s Medical on November 16, 2020:
COVID-19 epidemiology. There is a lot of testing in most of the countries. Test positivity rates differ from 10% in France and Spain, to 30% in Switzerland, Belgium, Ukraine. But mortality converges in all countries towards 2%(1-2%) which hints that most of the cases are detected.
The same mortality and ventilator use in the French ICUs as at the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in March 2020.
Older people are affected disproportionally. But the average age of COVDI-19 patients in ICUs in France is 60-66. The current ICU mortality in France is 23-25%, or the same as in the beginning of the epidemic. The same proportion of patients in the ICU, about 50%, are put on invasive mechanical ventilation.
The New Neander’s Medical on December 18, 2020:
ICUs in Marseille, France: 1. No improvement in ICU mortality between March-April 2020 and the current wave. 2. Dexamethasone is used, 6mg/day, but it had no impact on mortality, contrary to the “findings” of the RECOVERY trials. 3. The ICU doc wears a mask during a presentation(??). What does it say about his intelligence?
Currently, about 10% of the reported COVID-19 cases develop critical disease. The same percent as in China in March 2020.
The New Neander’s Medical on November 16, 2020:
COVID-19 essentials. 1. SARS-CoV-2 has not become less virulent. In winter, in Marseille, France, about 10% develop critical disease. The same % as in March 2020 in China. 2. No progress in the “late treatment”: 2.7% mortality in November in Marseille vs 3.8% in China in March.
Is COVID-19 dangerous? In Marseille, France, outside of the IHU of Raoult, 6.85% of all PCR-positive end up in ICU. 1.8% of all PCR-positive die outside ICU. Together, it is 9.1%. 9.1% of all PCR-positve develop critical disease. PCR tests currently detect most of the cases.
The future development of the COVID-19 epidemic.
From another article on this website:
Though the “Rapid spread” phase may end when the number of reported cases reaches 10 to 20 percent of the population in a country, the slow spread will continue. Occasionally, there will be outbreaks. In many households, 100% of the members will be infected with SARS-CoV-2 sooner or later. Since the immunity to coronaviruses is not lasting, the same households will be infected again with new variants and with the same variants of SARS-CoV-2 for the second, third and following times. 100% of the members of such housholds will also be infected by all other widely circulating pathogens.
Intelligent people should practice anti-pathogen hygiene throughout their lifetime. It is not difficult. It should become a habit.
Common Sens. Restating the obvious.
The protection efficacy of a natural infection is 86% only, and this applies only to the period of several months when antibodies are still detectable.
Reinfections with the same or new variants of SARS-CoV-2 are well-documented by now.
The New Neander’s Medical on December 21, 2020:
In those who had a recent infection with SARS-CoV-2 and were NOT vaccinated in Moderna’s trail, the rate of attack of symptomatic COVID-19 was (187-185)/(15170-14073)=0.18%. In those who had no recent infection, the rate of attack was 185/14073=1.3%. “Protection efficacy”: (1.3-0.18)/1.3=86%.
Vaccine manufacturers and medical bureaucrats can not be trusted. Vaccines do NOT prevent reinfections and asymptomatic COVID-19.
The New Neander’s Medical on December 25, 2020:
COVID-19 essentials. Vaccination with currently available vaccines in those who already had COVID-19, including asymptomatic, apparently has no effect on the rate of reinfections.
Vaccination with Pfizer’s mRNA vaccine has NOT prevented reinfections.
The New Neander’s Medical on December 16, 2020:
26/n Pfizer trial reports reinfections with SARS-CoV-2, and those reinfections are symptomatic. Vaccination with Pfizer’s mRNA vaccine has NOT prevented reinfections. Analysis: Vaccines or natural COVID-19 will not be a solution. Hygiene is the solution for most pathogens.
Pfizer vaccine does NOT prevent severe COVID-19.
The New Neander’s Medical on December 16, 2020:
In the Pfizer mRNA COVID-19 vaccine trial, a severe case occurred already after the 2nd dose. This is not good.
Astra Zeneca vaccine does not prevent reinfections in those who already had COVID-19.
The New Neander’s Medical on December 14, 2020:
COVID-19 epidemiology. Reinfections. Astra Zeneca vaccine. At the baseline, there were 138(UK) + 235(Brazil) seropositve participants. Of them, 3 got infected later, despite previous seropositivity (=”immunity”) and vaccination. 2 of the 3 had SYMPTOMATIC COVID-19.
Astra Zeneca-Oxford vaccine does not prevent asymptomatic COVID-19. Pfizer and Moderna have NOT reported on asymptomatic cases.
Astra Zeneca publishes a relatively honest study on its phase 3. In one of the arms, participants did weekly swabs. The efficacy for the prevention of symptomatic COVID was less than 60%. The efficacy for the prevention of asymptomatic COVID-19 was only 3.8% during the first 2(?) months of the follow-up.
Catastrophic errors and outright idiocy in Pfizer’s press releases and on its website.
The New Neander’s Medical on November 30, 2020:
Is “Big Pharma” idiotic? “Big Pharma” may be as idiotic as government bureaucracies. E.g.: The primary endpoint of Pfizer vaccine was the number of COVID-19 cases STARTING 7 days after the 2nd dose. But on Nov 9, 2020, Pfizer reported “efficacy” WITHIN 7d after the 2nd dose.
The New Neander’s Medical on November 30, 2020:
Pfizer, a “Big Pharma” villain, is idiotic. Only half of the participants in Pfizer’s trial, 22k of 44k, received vaccine. Yet, Pfizer keeps writing “41,135 received their second dose”. Corporations need to be investigated not only for fraud but also for idiocy.
Moderna owns neither intellectual property nor factories. Why billions of dollars are funnelled through a fictional biotech startup Moderna?
Moderna is a fictional startup. All is done by others. The intellectual property belongs to researchers working in the US universities, the manufacturing is done by a factory in Switzerland, and all Moderna’s COVID-19-related expenses are paid by the US money-printing press. Why the “Viagra salesman” CEO of Moderna is a billionaire? Why billions are funnelled through Moderna?
Bureaucracy can not be trusted.
The Neander’s Medical on November 25, 2020:
Moderna, a company that never shipped any products, got 900 million dollars from the US bureaucrats. But at least Moderna has offices. Dominion, a foreign company with NO offices nor addresses, no info on owners, was allowed to count votes in the US election.
Literacy is a more effective way to avoid respiratory infections than vaccines.
From another article on this website:
Literacy is a more effective way to avoid respiratory infections than vaccines. Also, there is no risk to develop autoimmune conditions that are inherently linked to adaptive immunity.
A “Certificate of Civil Protection Aptitude During Epidemics”.
We designed a “Certificate of Civil Protection Aptitude During Epidemics”.
The certificate is delivered to individuals who can provide well-thought answers to the questons from our course on avoiding infections. Such individuals are deemed to be knowledgeable enough to minimize their risk of infection. Notably, the risk of getting infected with SARS-CoV-2 as well as with many other respiratory infections caused by viruses and bacteria. Many general principles also apply to non-respiratory infections.
You need to understand why the questions are asked and to come up with reasonable answers.
Send your answers to the following address:
contact-medical-en [at] nneandersphysiologicalliteracy.com
The last review and update of the course: December 27, 2020.
2/n Lesson 1.
1. Make several pictures of how you disinfect your mobile phone.
2. When during the day do you need to disinfect your mobile phone?
3. What disinfectant should you use to disinfect your mobile phone?
3/n
Lesson 2.
Point out what do the individuals on the attached 4 photos do wrong.
4/n
Lesson 3.
Can you recognize the “COVID-19 cough”?
If so, describe it.
5/n
Lesson 4.
Select the combination that protects you better.
1. Wearing a mask + hands disinfection.
2. Avoiding those who cough + hands disinfection.
3. Avoiding those who cought + not touching your face.
6/n
Lesson 5.
You drank something cold or ate an ice cream and you have pain in your throat some time later. There are other signs of infection.
1. Is this COVID-19?
2. If it is not, are you more vulnerable to get infected with SARS-CoV-2 or less vulnerable?
7/n
Lesson 6.
On the attached picture from December 25, 2020, there are two hosts of acar review show. One already had COVID-19 and the other didn’t. Which one had and which one didn’t?
8/n
Lesson 7.
You are queueing in a supermarket, waiting to pay your grosseries. Everybody wears a mask.
Behind you, there is a man who, every minute or two, makes sounds that resemble light cough or clearing throat.
Are you protected by your mask? What are your actions?
9/n
Lesson 8.
Bazaid et al., 2020: “These measures include hand washing,wearing masks and gloves, and avoidance of touching the face with unwashed hands.”
Is there anything missing in this list? Write your own list of protective measures or “anti-infection hygiene rules”.
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